Predicting Citi's best homer spots
Sitting in the outfield at Citi Field for Monday night’s Home Run Derby? If so, here’s a scouting report on where each of the competitors’ homers are most likely to land, based on where their long balls have landed during the season, according to the ESPN Home Run Tracker.
Baltimore Orioles (37 HRs)
The major league leader in dingers, Davis’ shots have been spread pretty evenly across all fields. More than a third of the lefthanded first baseman’s home runs go to the opposite field. Still, odds are good that a few will land in Section 143.
Pittsburgh Pirates (24 HRs)
Second in the NL in homers behind the man he replaced, Carlos Gonzalez of the Rockies, Alvarez is a Washington Heights native who will keep fans across the rightfield seats occupied. The lefty will likely land a few dingers in Section 143 or upper Section 301.
The lefthanded AL captain doesn’t go to the opposite field very often. Section 143 also is the most likely destination of his power shots, but Section 102 figures to attract a few if the 2011 champ can avoid a repeat of last year’s homerless competition.
Detroit Tigers(16 HRs)
The winner of last year’s derby has not posted his usual power numbers. When he does connect on a power shot, it tends to land in what would be Citi Field Section 101. That said, of the seven homers that landed in what would have been that section, two would not have cleared the outfield wall in Queens.
Colorado Rockies (16 HRs)
The hot-hitting righty should make it worth the while of fans who sit behind the leftfield wall. The 34-year-old’s dingers cluster in Section 135, if they cluster anywhere. Note: Cuddyer has hit just six homers away from the thin air of Denver.
Oakland Athletics(15 HRs)
The last addition to the AL team, Cespedes is the typical righthanded power bat who deposits most of his home runs into the leftfield seats. Fans in sections 138 and 139 figure to have the best chance of catching one of the Cuban’s missiles.
Mets (13 HRs)
No one in the competition knows Citi Field the way the NL captain does. Don’t expect the righthander to give fans in rightfield much love, but the ones in left have as a good a chance of catching a ball from sections 132 to 138.
Washington Nationals (13 HRs)
Just 39 days older than Ken Griffey Jr. was when the future Hall of Famer made his derby debut in 1990, the lefthanded outfielder will probably give fans in Section 143 the best workout, but Section 303 could be in for a few treats, too.