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MLB Daily Dish: Schedule, Odds, Free Picks: May 31st

Nationals Mets Baseball
New York Mets’ Starling Marte (6) and Luis Guillorme (13) celebrate after scoring off Marte’s two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Monday, May 30, 2022, in New York. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)

Welcome to the Daily Dish, where we go through the MLB schedule for the day, giving you the starting pitcher matchups, and recent performance trends, and then listing some of our best bets if you choose to bet on the games. 

Last week, we went 55-50-2 (52%) on our MLB bets, so even in not our best week, we were able to come in above .500, which is not a bad baseline to be at. 

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MLB Odds and Schedule, May 31

Minnesota Twins (29-20) @ Detroit Tigers (18-29), 1:10 p.m. ET

Game 1 of a Doubleheader

  • DET Starting Pitcher: Rony García (0-0, 3.00 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, 11.00 K/9)
  • MIN Starting Pitcher: Devin Smeltzer (1-0, 1.04 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 4.15 K/9)
  • Last 10: DET is 5-5 in their last 10 games. MIN is 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: DET is 4-5-1 in their last 10 games. MIN is 7-3-0 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: DET averaged 2.8 runs scored in their last 10 games. MIN averaged 5.2 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: DET allowed 4 runs on average in their last 10 games. MIN allowed 4.3 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

 

Kansas City Royals (16-31) @ Cleveland Guardians (20-24), 6:10 p.m. ET

  • CLE Starting Pitcher: Cal Quantrill (2-3, 3.42 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 5.32 K/9)
  • KC Starting Pitcher: Daniel Lynch (2-3, 3.92 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 8.54 K/9)
  • Last 10: CLE is 4-6 in their last 10 games. KC is 2-8  in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: CLE is 2-7-1 in their last 10 games. KC is 8-2-0 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: CLE averaged 3.9 runs scored in their last 10 games. KC averaged 4.6 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: CLE allowed 2.9 runs on average in their last 10 games. KC allowed 6.8 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: Pass
  • WHY?: I just don’t see an angle here. The model likes the Guardians as a slight favorite, but I am really not a Cal Quantrill fan, so it’s hard for me to put money on him. The model also sees this as 9.17 total runs, which is basically right in line with the over/under. I just don’t see anything that makes me confident in a win, so I’ll move on. 

 

San Francisco Giants (26-21) @ Philadelphia Phillies (21-28), 6:45 p.m. ET

  • PHI Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suárez (4-3, 4.74 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 7.63 K/9)
  • SF Starting Pitcher: Jakob Junis (2-1, 2.76 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 6.61 K/9)
  • Last 10: PHI is 3-7 in their last 10 games. SF is 4-6 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: PHI is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. SF is 6-3-1 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: PHI averaged 4.4 runs scored in their last 10 games. SF averaged 4.8 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: PHI allowed 5.4 runs on average in their last 10 games. SF allowed 6.4 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

 

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Los Angeles Angels (27-22) @ New York Yankees (33-15), 7:05 p.m. ET

  • NYY Starting Pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (0-1, 3.3 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 7.19 K/9)
  • LAA Starting Pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (4-2, 3.08 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 6.39 K/9)
  • Last 10: NYY is 5-5 in their last 10 games. LAA is 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: NYY is 4-6-0 in their last 10 games. LAA is 5-4-1 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: NYY averaged 3.3 runs scored in their last 10 games. LAA averaged 4.4 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: NYY allowed 3.4 runs on average in their last 10 games. LAA allowed 5.1 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

Noah Syndergaard delivers a pitch in 2022 MLB action
Los Angeles Angels starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard throws to the plate during the second inning of a baseball game against the Texas Rangers Tuesday, May 24, 2022, in Anaheim, Calif. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

Seattle Mariners (20-28) @ Baltimore Orioles (21-19), 7:05 p.m. ET

  • SEA Starting Pitcher: George Kirby (0-1, 4.50 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 9.00 K/9)
  • BAL Starting Pitcher: Mike Baumann (1-2, 4.91 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 6.55 K/9 as a reliever)
  • Last 10: BAL is 5-5 in their last 10 games. SEA is 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: BAL is 5-4-1 in their last 10 games. SEA is 6-4-0 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: BAL averaged 5.1 runs scored in their last 10 games. SEA averaged 4.5 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: BAL allowed 5.2 runs on average in their last 10 games. SEA allowed 5.3 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

 

Chicago White Sox (23-23) @ Toronto Blue Jays (27-20), 7:07 p.m. ET

  • TOR Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman (4-3, 2.25 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 10.45 K/9)
  • CHW Starting Pitcher: Lucas Giolito (3-1, 2.63 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 12.19 K/9)
  • Last 10: TOR is 7-3 in their last 10 games. CHW is 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: TOR is 5-5-0 in their last 10 games. CHW is 5-4-1 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: TOR averaged 4.6 runs scored in their last 10 games. CHW averaged 4.1 runs scored. 
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: TOR allowed 3.9 runs on average in their last 10 games. CHW allowed 6 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

 

Cincinnati Reds (16-31) @ Boston Red Sox (23-26), 7:10 p.m. ET

  • BOS Starting Pitcher: Michael Wacha (3-0, 2.83 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 6.17 K/9)
  • CIN Starting Pitcher: Luis Castillo (1-2, 4.36 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 7.84 K/9)
  • Last 10: BOS is 6-4 in their last 10 games. CIN is 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: BOS is 6-3-1 in their last 10 games. CIN is 4-6-0 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: BOS averaged 7.4 runs scored in their last 10 games. CIN averaged 4.9 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: BOS allowed 5.3 runs on average in their last 10 games. CIN allowed 4.2 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

 

Minnesota Twins (29-20) @ Detroit Tigers (18-29), 7:10 p.m. ET

Game 2 of a Doubleheader

  • MIN Starting Pitcher: Cole Sands (0-0, 6.75 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 13.50 K/9 as a reliever)
  • DET Starting Pitcher: Joey Wentz (0-1, 20.25 ERA, 3.38 WHIP, 3.38 K/9 in one MLB start)
  • Last 10: DET is 5-5 in their last 10 games. MIN is 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: DET is 4-5-1 in their last 10 games. MIN is 7-3-0 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: DET averaged 2.8 runs scored in their last 10 games. MIN averaged 5.2 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: DET allowed 4 runs on average in their last 10 games. MIN allowed 4.3 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: Pass
  • WHY?:  Too many unknowns. We have two pitchers who have essentially no MLB track record facing two offenses that are either injured or have trouble scoring. Will the poor offenses outweigh the inexperienced pitching? It’s just too hard to know for sure, so I’ll pass. 

 

Washington Nationals (18-32) @ New York Mets (33-17), 7:10 p.m. ET

  • NYM Starting Pitcher: Trevor Williams (0-3, 4.37 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 8.74 K/9)
  • WSH Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin (1-7, 6.3 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, 7.56 K/9)
  • Last 10: NYM is 7-3 in their last 10 games. WSH is 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: NYM is 8-2-0 in their last 10 games. WSH is 7-3-0 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: NYM averaged 7.2 runs scored in their last 10 games. WSH averaged 4.8 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: NYM allowed 5.4 runs on average in their last 10 games. WSH allowed 5.7 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

 

San Diego Padres (30-18) @ St. Louis Cardinals (27-21), 7:45 p.m. ET

  • STL Starting Pitcher: Adam Wainwright (5-4, 3.12 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 6.58 K/9)
  • SD Starting Pitcher: Blake Snell (0-2, 6 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 12 K/9)
  • Last 10: STL is 7-3 in their last 10 games. SD is 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: STL is 5-3-2 in their last 10 games. SD is 2-6-2 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: STL averaged 5.7 runs scored in their last 10 games. SD averaged 3.8 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: STL allowed 4.2 runs on average in their last 10 games. SD allowed 3.2 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

Blake Snell delivers a pitch in 2022 MLB action
San Diego Padres starting pitcher Blake Snell delivers against the Milwaukee Brewers during the first inning of a baseball game Tuesday, May 24, 2022, in San Diego. (AP Photo/Mike McGinnis)

Milwaukee Brewers (32-18) @ Chicago Cubs (19-29), 8:05 p.m. ET

  • CHC Starting Pitcher: Justin Steele (1-5, 5.4 ERA, 1.6 WHIP, 10.29 K/9)
  • MIL Starting Pitcher: Eric Lauer (5-1, 2.31 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 10.61 K/9) 
  • Last 10: CHC is 4-6 in their last 10 games. MIL is 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: CHC is 7-3-0 in their last 10 games. MIL is 4-6-0 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: CHC averaged 5.3 runs scored in their last 10 games. MIL averaged 3.7 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: CHC allowed 5.9 runs on average in their last 10 games. MIL allowed 3.5 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

 

Tampa Bay Rays (28-20) @ Texas Rangers (23-24), 8:05 p.m. ET

  • TEX Starting Pitcher: Martin Pérez (3-2, 1.6 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 7.03 K/9)
  • TB Starting Pitcher: Ryan Yarbrough (0-1, 3.98 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 7.52 K/9)
  • Last 10: TEX is 6-4 in their last 10 games. TB is 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: TEX is 4-5-1 in their last 10 games. TB is 5-5-0 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: TEX averaged 5.3 runs scored in their last 10 games. TB averaged 4.1 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: TEX allowed 3.5 runs on average in their last 10 games. TB allowed 4.1 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

 

Miami Marlins (19-27) @ Colorado Rockies (22-26), 8:40 p.m. ET

  • COL Starting Pitcher: Germán Márquez (1-5, 6.30 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 7.38 K/9)
  • MIA Starting Pitcher: Edward Cabrera (1-2, 4.56 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 12.17 K/9 in minors)
  • Last 10: COL is 4-6 in their last 10 games. MIA is 2-8 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: COL is 5-5-0 in their last 10 games. MIA is 5-5-0 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: COL averaged 4.4 runs scored in their last 10 games. MIA averaged 3 runs scored
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: COL allowed 4.7 runs on average in their last 10 games. MIA allowed 4.6 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

 

 

Atlanta Braves (23-26) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (24-26), 9:40 p.m. ET

  • ARI Starting Pitcher: Humberto Castellanos (3-2, 5.22 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 6.13 K/9)
  • ATL Starting Pitcher: Charlie Morton (3-3, 5.28 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 8.32 K/9)
  • Last 10: ARI is 5-5 in their last 10 games. ATL is 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: ARI is 6-4-0 in their last 10 games. ATL is 5-5-0 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: ARI averaged 5.2 runs scored in their last 10 games. ATL averaged 4 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: ARI allowed 5.6 runs on average in their last 10 games. ATL allowed 4.4 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

 

Houston Astros (31-28) @ Oakland Athletics (20-31), 9:40 p.m. ET

  • OAK Starting Pitcher: Frankie Montas (2-4, 3.28 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 10.3 K/9)
  • HOU Starting Pitcher: Cristian Javier (3-2, 2.43 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 11.68 K/9)
  • Last 10: OAK is 3-7 in their last 10 games. HOU is 6-4 in their last 10 games. 
  • Last 10 – O/U: OAK is 6-4-0 in their last 10 games. HOU is 1-9-0 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: OAK averaged 3.8 runs scored in their last 10 games. HOU averaged 2.5 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: OAK allowed 5.6 runs on average in their last 10 games. HOU allowed 3 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

 

Pittsburgh Pirates (20-27) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (33-15), 10:10 p.m. ET

  • LAD Starting Pitcher: Julio Urías (3-4, 2.49 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 6.51 K/9)
  • PIT Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller (1-5, 6.05 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 7.45 K/9)
  • Last 10: LAD is 7-3 in their last 10 games. PIT is 4-6 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – O/U: LAD is 5-5-0 in their last 10 games. PIT is 3-5-2 in their last 10 games.
  • Last 10 – Score: LAD averaged 6 runs scored in their last 10 games. PIT averaged 3.9 runs scored.
  • Last 10 – Runs Allowed: LAD allowed 2.8 runs on average in their last 10 games. PIT allowed 5.1 runs.
  • MLB Free Pick: 

Julio Urias delivers a pitch in 2022 MLB action
Los Angeles Dodgers starter Julio Urias pitches against the Pittsburgh Pirates during the first inning of a baseball game, Monday, May 9, 2022, in Pittsburgh. (AP Photo/Keith Srakocic)

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