The NFL will release their complete 2023-24 schedule on Thursday night with a live reveal at 8 pm on ESPN2 and NFL Network. However, even before we know which weeks teams are playing, we can still get a sense of who could be in for a strong season based on upcoming opponents and roster changes during free agency and the NFL Draft.
Below we’re going to look at our favorite NFL Win Total bet. Those are when you are betting on how many games a team will win. Sportsbooks will set the over or under on each team, and you can bet if it will be less or more than that number. For example, if you bet on the New York Jets to win over 9.5 games, they would need to win 10 or more for you to win your bet. If you bet under, they have to win 9-or-less games for your bet to win.
According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Chiefs are tied for the highest win total over-under in the NFL next season at 11.5, alongside the Cincinnati Bengals and San Francisco 49ers, while the Arizona Cardinals have the lowest projected total at 4.5 wins.
Here is the whole list and then below we’ll look at some of our favorite bets.
NFL Over/Under Odds
| TEAM | WIN TOTAL | OVER ODDS | UNDER ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Arizona Cardinals |
4.5 |
-110 |
-110 |
|
Atlanta Falcons |
8.5 |
+110 |
-130 |
|
Baltimore Ravens |
9.5 |
-120 |
+100 |
|
Buffalo Bills |
10.5 |
-140 |
+120 |
|
Carolina Panthers |
7.5 |
-135 |
+115 |
|
Cincinnati Bengals |
11.5 |
+100 |
-120 |
|
Cleveland Browns |
9.5 |
-130 |
-150 |
|
Chicago Bears |
7.5 |
-135 |
+115 |
|
Dallas Cowboys |
9.5 |
-130 |
+110 |
|
Denver Broncos |
8.5 |
-110 |
-110 |
|
Detroit Lions |
9.5 |
-150 |
+130 |
|
Green Bay Packers |
7.5 |
+125 |
-140 |
|
Houston Texans |
6.5 |
+110 |
-130 |
|
Indianapolis Colts |
6.5 |
-140 |
+120 |
|
Jacksonville Jaguars |
10.5 |
+125 |
-145 |
|
Kansas City Chiefs |
11.5 |
-140 |
+120 |
|
Los Angeles Rams |
7.5 |
+125 |
-145 |
|
Los Angeles Chargers |
9.5 |
-110 |
-110 |
|
Las Vegas Raiders |
7.5 |
+130 |
-150 |
|
Miami Dolphins |
9.5 |
+100 |
-120 |
|
Minnesota Vikings |
8.5 |
-120 |
+100 |
|
New England Patriots |
7.5 |
-120 |
+100 |
|
New Orleans Saints |
9.5 |
+105 |
-125 |
|
New York Giants |
8.5 |
+120 |
-140 |
|
New York Jets |
9.5 |
-145 |
+125 |
|
Philadelphia Eagles |
10.5 |
-150 |
+130 |
|
Pittsburgh Steelers |
8.5 |
-130 |
+110 |
|
San Francisco 49ers |
11.5 |
+120 |
-140 |
|
Seattle Seahawks |
8.5 |
-130 |
+110 |
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
6.5 |
+110 |
-130 |
|
Tennessee Titans |
7.5 |
+110 |
-130 |
|
Washington Commanders |
6.5 |
-120 |
+100 |
Minnesota Vikings Over 8.5 (-115)
Last year’s record: 13-4
This feels weirdly low. Yes, the Vikings lost Adam Thielen, but he wasn’t actually performing that well, and adding Jordan Addison in the draft more than makes up for it. Vikings coach Kevin O’Connell went 13-4 in his first season as head coach, and now Aaron Rodgers left the division to play for the Jets. I’m not sure how all of that equates to just eight wins for Minnesota, even if they did get a bit lucky last year.
Pittsburgh Steelers Over 8.5 (-105)
Last year’s record: 9-8
This one is pretty simply me not wanting to bet against history. Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season in 16 years with the Steelers. That’s including last year’s team which looked like a disaster at times. Tomlin now has another year with intriguing rookies Kenny Pickett and George Pickens, so I’m willing to bank on Tomlin just doing what he does every year and not field a sub-.500 team.
New York Giants Over 8.5 (+120)
Last year’s record: 9-7-1
The Giants won nine games last year and made the playoffs in Brian Daboll’s first year as head coach, and Vegas doesn’t seem to think it was real. Considering that the Giants won that many games with a corps of pass catchers who have now been almost entirely replaced, I think it’s a good bet that Daboll will have this offense humming.
The Giants will now have Darren Waller, Parris Campbell, and Jalin Hyatt alongside returners Darius Slayton and Isaiah Hodgins. Plus, they added Bobby Okereke to their defense. I believe Saquon Barkley will suit up for New York, and they should cruise over this total.
Arizona Cardinals Under 4.5 (-125)
Last year’s record: 4-13
Now for the teams I’m not as confident in. Arizona might be the worst team in the NFL, and you could make an argument that they don’t appear to be positioning themselves to win many games at all this year. We could be looking at a full-on tank.
Arizona went 4-13 last year and then Kyler Murray tore his ACL in Week 14, so there’s a chance he’s not ready until mid-season and if Arizona is out of the playoff race by then (which they will be) why would they push him back early? This has all the makings of a legitimate rebuild.
Green Bay Packers Under 7.5 (-140)
Last year’s record: 8-9
So Green Bay went 8-9 last year and will now be without Aaron Rodgers and Allen Lazard and the over/under is just 7.5? I’m not sure I understand that. Jordan Love has not yet proven himself to be a winning quarterback in the NFL, and I think this could be a long season for Green Bay.
Texans Under 6.5 (-130)
Last year’s record: 3-13
This was at 5.5 before the NFL Draft and then jumped to 6.5 when Houston made two of the first three picks in the draft. But here is the thing: rookies usually take a while to make a full impact and C.J. Stroud is certainly not a slam dunk QB prospect. This is still a team with a lot of holes, and I’m not sure they’re four wins better than they were last year without guys like Brandin Cooks in town.
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