Blue Jays vs. Yankees Game 3 Betting Preview: ALDS Starters, Odds & Prediction

The New York Yankees are back in a familiar setting at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx to battle the Toronto Blue Jays for Game 3 of the American League Division Series (ALDS). It was a forgettable trip north of the border for the Yankees as they were outscored by 15 runs over the opening two games of the series. New York returns home needing to win Game 3 to continue playing October baseball in 2025. 

Game 3 Starters – Shane Bieber vs. Carlos Rodon

Blue Jays starter Shane Bieber brings a 1-1 record with a 5.00 earned run average (ERA) and 22 strikeouts over three postseason appearances, all with Cleveland’s MLB franchise. He took the loss after pitching 4.2 innings, allowing nine hits and seven runs in his only appearance during the 2020 postseason run for Cleveland. In 2022, he scattered eight hits and struck out 15 batters over 13.1 innings in two starts for the Guardians. Yankees slugger Paul Goldschmidt will be a hitter to watch in Game 3 as he enters with a .500 career batting average against Bieber with three hits in six at-bats.  

Yankees starter Carlos Rodon looks to build off his six inning outing against the Boston Red Sox in the 2025 Wild Card series. The 32-year-old lefty allowed four hits during his Game 2 outing, but gave up three runs and departed in a tied ballgame. Still, Rodon provided the Yankees critical innings and kept the Bronx Bombers in the game for Austin Wells’ eight-inning heroics of a 4-3 win over Boston. Rodon owns a 1-3 record, a 6.15 ERA, and 34 strikeouts in playoff outings heading into the make-or-break games against Toronto on Tuesday night. 

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Spread & Over / Under 

The spread for Game 3 swings back in New York’s favor with the game being played in the Empire State. The over/under was raised slightly to eight runs for Game 2 in Toronto, but that number returns to where it started at 7.5 runs at the beginning of the series. Both games in Toronto hit the over with 11 combined runs in Game 1 and 20 combined runs in Game 2. Will that trend continue in the pressure-packed Game 3 tonight? 

Yankees Home Run Odds in Game 3 

Aaron Judge has collected eight hits in 18 at-bats through five games in the 2025 postseason, but the Yankees slugger is still looking to connect with his first homer run of the playoffs. Cody Bellinger hit a sixth inning round-tripper during Game 2 of the ALDS, which makes him the third Yankees hitter with a trot around the bases during this postseason.

New York will need to find the power swings to avoid an early playoff exit. Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are the only projected Yankees starters to previously homer of Bieber, so that duo leads the way for the most likely hitter to provide that epic longball to keep Yankees hopes and dreams alive: 

Game 3 Prediction – Blue Jays 2, Yankees 1

The Blue Jays sat around for nearly a week before coming out and smashing 23 runs over two games against New York to start the series. With their backs against the wall, Yankees pitching locks in and limits Toronto’s offense for Game 3. Unfortunately, the bats never get going for New York and they watch Toronto punch a late run across the plate to a trip to the American League Championship Series (ALCS) to battle the winner of the Seattle/Detroit series. 

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