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AL Wild Card Game 1 Betting: Yankees Odds, Schedule, & Prediction

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Max Fried Yankees
May 2, 2025; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Max Fried (54) reacts after a double play ending the third inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

The New York Yankees have the home-field advantage at Yankee Stadium against the Boston Red Sox in the three-game American League Wild Card series. New York needs only to glance at manager Aaron Boone to hear tales of the last series win over Boston. In 2004, Boone hit a legendary walk-off home run in Game 7 of the 2003 American League Championship Series (ALCS) to send the Bronx Bombers to the World Series. 

Since that moment in MLB history, it’s been nothing but disappointment for New York against Boston in the playoffs. The Red Sox claimed three straight postseason series against the Yankees with wins in 2004, 2018, and 2021. New York has the opportunity to put all that recent bad history behind them by eliminating Boston from the 2025 postseason race over the next few nights. 

Yankees-Red Sox Wild Card Schedule

New York and Boston will be featured in primetime beginning at 6:08 PM ET on three consecutive nights between Tuesday and Thursday, if necessary. All of the games will be broadcast on ESPN. The winner of the series will advance to battle the Toronto Blue Jays in the 2025 American League Divisional Series (ALDS).

AL Wild Card Schedule – Red Sox vs. Yankees

Game 1: Crochet vs. Fried   [Tue. Sept. 30 @ 6:08 PM ET]

Game 2: Bello vs. Rodon   [Wed. Oct. 1 @ 6:08 PM ET]

Game 3: TBD vs. Schlittler  [Thu. Oct. 2 @ 6:08 PM ET, if necessary]

The Yankees struggled against the Red Sox in the 2025 regular season with a 4-9 record, which included an eight-game losing streak between June and August. Despite the dismal mark this regular season, New York claimed three of the last four meetings with Boston, including two of three games in mid-Sept. as both squads battled for playoff positioning. 

Yankees Odds & Bets for Game 1

The Yankees are surging into the postseason with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games, while Boston posted an above .500 mark with a 6-4 record over their final 10 contests. The higher seed opens as a 2.5-run favorite at home in Game 1 of this A.L. Wild Card series

Spread

NYY -2.5 

Money Line

BOS +114, NYY -134

Runs Over / Under

Under 7 (-108) / Over 7 (- 112) 

Money Against the Spread

57% NYY

Bets Against the Spread

53% NYY

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Odds are subject to change

With the short porch residing in right field at Yankee Stadium, the home run ball could be a major swing point in Game 1 (and the series).  Therefore, here are odds for Yankees hitters to swat a round-tripper against Boston pitching tonight:

Aaron Judge 

+220

Giancarlo Stanton

+310

Paul Goldschmidt

+500

Cody Bellinger

+560

Trent Grisham

+600

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Odds are subject to change

Game 1 Prediction – Yankees 4, Red Sox 2

The Yankees finished the final month of the regular season with an 18-7 record, including an eight game winning streak to close out the regular campaign. New York will continue their hot streak in a 4-2 win over Boston in Game 1 of the A.L. Wild Card Series.

Aaron Judge Yankees White Sox No. 50
Sep 24, 2025; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99) watches his solo home run against the Chicago White Sox during the eighth inning at Yankee Stadium. The home run was his second of the game. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images

Max Fried outlasts Garrett Crochet in a pitcher’s duel, while Aaron Judge provides the heroics for the Yankees with a Game 1 homer. Ben Rice will find a way to impact the game despite starting the evening on the Yankees bench. Rinse, repeat, and get ready for another stressful scrap during Game 2 in the Bronx tomorrow night. 

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