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VMAs 2016: Winner predictions from a Spotify expert

Who will take home a moonman from the 2016 MTV Video Music Awards?

The nominees for best new artist, video of the year and other VMA categories have been announced, and voting has since closed. Beyoncé’s “Lemonade” album leads with 11 nominations, a personal best for the singer. Adele’s “Hello” has also earned a record-breaking seven total nominations.

But you don't have to wait until Sunday, starting at 9 p.m,. to find out who will (or should) win.

amNewYork got the scoop from Spotify’s trend expert Shanon Cook, who predicted the winners of this year's top categories based on the artists' total streams and subscribers.

Video of the year: Justin Bieber

Justin Bieber made an emotional comeback at the
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Kevin Winter

Justin Bieber made an emotional comeback at the 2015 VMAs and he's been turning us all into Beliebers ever since. Bieber's "Sorry" has been his most successful track on Spotify to date, with 740 million streams and counting. No need to shed tears at this year's award show, Bieber. You're in for video of the year winner, Cook predicts.

Also nominated: Adele, "Hello"; Beyoncé, "Formation"; Drake, "Hotline Bling"; Kanye West, "Famous"

Best new artist: Desiigner

Desiigner is predicted to be 2016's best new
Photo Credit: Getty Images

Desiigner is predicted to be 2016's best new artist. His track "Panda" was an instant radio hit and has more than 370 million streams on Spotify to date, according to Cook. While that number stacks low next to his industry competitors, he also has more than 17 million monthly subscribed listeners.

Also nominated with Desiigner: Lukas Graham; Bryson Tiller; Zara Larsson; DNCE

Best female video: Adele

Sorry, Beyoncé. Adele's
Photo Credit: AdeleVEVO

Sorry, Beyoncé. Adele's "Hello" blows "Hold Up" and most of her other competitors away in the best female video category with 570 million Spotify streams and counting. The only problem -- the nominee is in a tight race with Rihanna's "Work," which has just over 500 million streams, according to Cook. If Adele fans were as eager to vote as they are to stream, she'll be taking home the VMA.

Also nominated: Beyoncé, "Hold Up"; Sia, "Cheap Thrills"; Ariana Grande "Into You"; Rihanna, "Work"

Best hip hop video: Drake

Drake's dance moves in
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Paras Griffin

Drake's dance moves in "Hotline Bling" alone might just win him best hip-hop video. The track itself also has more streams than any other nominated song, with more than 510 million.

Also nominated: Desiigner, "Panda"; Bryson Tiller, "Done"; Chance The Rapper, "Angels"; 2 Chainz, "Watch Out"

Best electronic video: Mike Posner

It'll be a tight race between Mike Posner
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Mike Lawrie

It'll be a tight race between Mike Posner and The Chainsmokers for best electronic video. Posner's "I Took a Pill in Ibiza" will most likely edge out his competition, since it has more than 590 million streams, Cook predicts.

Also nominated: The Chainsmokers ft. Daya, "Don't Let Me Down"; 99 Souls ft. Destiny's Child, "The Girl Is Mine"; Afrojack, "Summerthing!"; Calvin Harris & Disciples, "How Deep Is Your Love"

Best collaboration: Drake and Rihanna

Is it any surprise
Photo Credit: Getty Images

Is it any surprise "Work" is a success? Any track Rihanna and Drake work on together becomes an instant hit. The song has been streamed 510 million times and counting, making it the leader in the best collaboration category. Fifth Harmony's "Work From Home," featuring Ty Dolla $ign, is creeping up behind, but hasn't broken 500 million streams, according to Cook.

Also nominated: Ariana Grande ft. Lil Wayne, "Let Me Love You"; Beyoncé ft. Kendrick Lamar, "Freedom"; Calvin Harris ft. Rihanna, "This Is What You Came For"

Best male video: The Weeknd

The Weeknd 2015's album
Photo Credit: Getty Images for iHeartMedia / Christopher Polk

The Weeknd 2015's album "Beauty Behind the Madness" seemed to solidify his place in the music industry. His track "I Can't Feel My Face" will take the best male video category, not only for its impressive number of Spotify streams (590 million and counting), but also for its fun, upbeat and carefree vibe, Cook predicts.

Also nominated: Drake, "Hotline Bling"; Bryson Tiller, "Done"; Calvin Harris, "This Is What You Came For"; Kanye West, "Famous"

Best pop video: Justin Bieber

Bieber's 740 million streams for
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Stuart C. Wilson

Bieber's 740 million streams for "Sorry" could land him video of the year and best pop video, Cook predicts. "'Sorry' is an epic hit with Spotfiy listeners around the world," she told amNewYork. Worth noting: There's a newcomer on this year's list -- Alessia Cara's "Wild Things."

Also nominated: Adele, "Hello"; Ariana Grande, "Into You"; Beyoncé, "Formation"


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